A plausible, coherent and internally consistent description of how the future may unfold under specified assumptions about key drivers and relationships (not a prediction).
GEO-1-6
A description of how the future may unfold based on if-then propositions, typically consisting of a representation of an initial situation, a description of the key drivers and changes that lead to a particular future state. For example, “given that we are on holiday at the coast, if it is 30°C tomorrow, we will go to the beach”.